Tribal Mobilization: Increasing Risk or Jeopardizing Conflict Mitigation in Darfur, Sudan
How do fragmentations based on tribal affiliation further increase the risk of clashes and jeopardize conflict mitigation in Darfur? This research examines the splitting of rebel groups and its effects on conflict mitigation In Darfur. I argue that tribal mobilization presents major obstacles to peace and democratic governance. When an armed group mobilizes its members on a tribal basis to fight against an authoritarian regime, they will end up dividing and fighting amongst themselves. Lack of a clear, united political vision and self-interest will most likely lead groups to fragment. Rebels fight against other rebels, religious sects, tribes, clans, and families, making conflict mitigation and peace extremely difficult to achieve. These hypotheses are illustrated in the split between the Sudan Liberation Army/Movement (SLA/M) and the Justice and Equality Movement (JEM), resulting in 40 rebel factions between 2005-2015. The research aims to highlight further the dynamics and processes involved in these types of complex, protracted civil wars. For the past eight years, 25 peace agreements have been signed between the Government of Sudan (GoS) and 25 rebel factions. Regrettably, none of these agreements were able to bring peace or security to Darfur rather they’ve increased the level of insecurity and have further divided the Darfur community.